Cleveland snapped a five-game skid Tuesday with a Kyle Manzardo grand slam, and the Guardians open this series at home off an extra day of rest. Tanner Bibee takes the ball tonight, sitting on a 4-10 record that undersells him badly — a 3.89 ERA and 97 strikeouts point to a pitcher let down by his own offense more than beaten on the mound. Arizona counters with rookie Mitch Bratt, carrying a 6.32 ERA and a 1.98 WHIP, numbers that put him firmly on the wrong side of this mismatch. The two clubs haven't met yet this season, so there's no history to lean on, but the fundamentals point one way: Cleveland is a game over .500 at home, closer Cade Smith is running a 0.84 ERA in July with a league-leading save total, and my mathematical model projections favor the Guardians by nearly fourteen percentage points. Bibee has the stuff to keep this Arizona lineup quiet, and the home team with the deeper bullpen is the play. Cleveland is the right side tonight.
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Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Betting Picks
Get Diamondbacks vs. Guardians betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Diamondbacks vs. Guardians game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 68% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 5.0 to 4.5 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline, Arizona winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 69% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 68% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 4.9 to 4.7 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline, Arizona winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 70% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 4.3 to 3.4 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline, Arizona winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
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MLB
Arizona at Cleveland
7:10 PM Eastern
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 66% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arizona would win by a score of 5.0 to 4.1 with Arizona winning on the moneyline, Cleveland winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
MLB
Cleveland at Arizona
3:40 PM Eastern
Cleveland came up just short in a 6-5 loss on Tuesday night, but the Guardians still are in the hunt for a wild-card spot. They are 10-2 in their past 12 Wednesday games and 15-2 after allowing at least five runs in their previous game. The Guardians have won five straight against teams that allowed five or more runs in their last game. Parker Messick will make his MLB debut for Cleveland. The left-hander had 119 strikeouts in 98 2/3 innings while sporting a 3.47 ERA in Triple-A this year. Arizona has lost four of five, and Brandon Pfaadt gave up four runs on eight hits in six innings in the Diamondbacks' 4-3 loss to Colorado on Friday. The UNDER is 5-0-1 in the Diamondbacks' past six home games against left-handed starters, 7-0-1 UNDER versus southpaw starters overall. The UNDER is 5-0 when Arizona scored five or more runs in the previous game. Take the Guardians and the UNDER.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 50% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arizona would win by a score of 4.7 to 4.2 with Arizona winning on the moneyline, Cleveland winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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