Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #7 (SCARF IT DOWN) (4-1) - Mid-Westerner is making his first appearance on the NYRA circuit. One run type is racing first off a Bob Diodoro claim (a strong 25% winning angle) and a subsequent two-month break (24%). He was a winner at Churchill Downs going six furlongs for a $30K tag the day he switched barns (May 20). Working fine at Belmont, he gets a slight edge.
2nd pick: #2 (Tiz Shea D) (3-1) - The 'class' of the field, he's switching from grass to dirt, and takes a big drop in his first start since May 12. 5yo by 'Tiznow' has solid early speed, and both career wins have been on the dirt.
3rd pick: #4 (Top Fortitude) (9-2) - Stretch runner drops a bit following a 4th place finish at Monmouth going six furlongs June 25. He's best at this trip (5-1-2-1) and will be making up ground late.
4th pick: #6 (Monte Man) (5-1) - Stalker was beaten by six lengths at this distance on the grass July 1 at Belmont. He lost all chance when he stumbled at the break and did well under the circumstances. Must be left in the mix.