Top Pick: #7 Commandment (6-1) - Commandment has been impressive as a closer, rallying from the back of the field. That wasn't possible the last time out after getting caught in traffic in the Kentucky Derby. Still, this high-speed horse won the Grade 1 Florida Derby in a worst-to-first rally, plus won the Grade 2 Fountain of Youth Stakes. Has shown impressive versatility and a drive to win close battles. Getting an outside draw in a smaller field is actually an advantage.
2nd Pick: #3 Chief Wallabee (3-1) - Chief Wallabee has looked very good working out. He was fourth in the Kentucky Derby, with a chance to win, but got banged around late while fighting for positioning. A smaller field and less traffic will be a plus for this horse with elite speed, who finished second and third behind Commandment at the Florida Derby and the Fountain of Youth Stakes.
3rd Pick: #8 Emerging Market (6-1) - Chad Brown's Emerging Market gets a second chance after a poor Kentucky Derby showing, losing a front shoe during the race. He has speed and stamina to handle long distances, a victor in the 1 3/16-mile Louisiana Derby, besting Golden Tempo. Veteran Flavien Prat will be atop.
4th Pick: #4 Renegade (2-1) - Renegade won the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby at 1 1/8 miles before finishing second at the Kentucky Derby to Golden Tempo in the only other race at this 1 1/4-mile distance.