Top pick: #1a (SPURRIER) - Races as part of a Bob Baffert trained entry and veteran stalker is (9-2-0-2) on conventional dirt. Working fast for his first since July 15th and he should get a solid pace to track. If he runs to his works he can win this.
2nd pick: #5 (Unusual Smoke) - He won here facing weaker two weeks ago and veteran has good positional speed. Very consistent and he can "run all day". If the pace is fast/contested he could be very dangerous.
3rd pick: #1 (Red Door Drive) - Coupled in the wagering with the top pick this hard-hitter has good early speed and draws the rail. Race will be his first ever on real dirt and he could win this if he takes to it.
4th pick: #2 (Cigar Man) - Has no early speed but generally puts in a strong late rally. He's (12-2-3-1) on real dirt and the faster the pace, the better his chances.