img HORSE

CHURCHILL DOWNS Race #6

November 23, 2018
img3:25 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #1 (HAWT MESS ) (5-2) - Filly finished second when debuting at this level and distance on a sloppy track Oct. 27 at Keeneland. Well backed that afternoon in a large field (11) she did not break cleanly but still had a fine first attempt. She has the rail and can win this with a trouble-free getaway.

2nd pick: #5 (Miss Systematic) (12-1) - She tired badly when debuting Oct. 26 at Keeneland on a sloppy track. Filly had a tough outside post, draws better, and enters off a pair of above-average half-mile breezes.

3rd pick: #10 (Headland) (9-2) - $50,000 daughter of 'Paynter' drops in price while shortening up in distance. She did run second at this tag and trip Aug. 31 at Ellis Park prior to her latest pair going longer facing better. Contender today.

4th pick: #8 (First to Dance) (6-1) - Filly raced evenly when finishing third of 12, beaten five lengths going 7 furlongs at this $30K tag Oct. 14 at Keeneland. It was her first with Lasix and it's noted that she's taken betting action in three straight.

TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free Horse picks and predictions.

Join 424,057 Subscribers!