img HORSE

CHURCHILL DOWNS Race #11 (THE KENTUCKY JOCKEY CLUB STAKES (G2))

November 24, 2018
img5:55 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Bet this race at Diamond SportsTop pick: #1 (SIGNALMAN) (3-1) - Sharp in all four starts, he finished a troubled second in the G1 Breeders' Futurity (G1) Oct. 6 at Keeneland, then ran third here in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) Nov. 2. Both races were at this distance and he finished behind today's rival 'Knicks Go' each time. However, he moves from the 13-post to the rail and the ground saving draw can make all the difference.

2nd pick: #13 (Knicks Go) (5-2) - Speedy grey colt upset the Breeders' Futurity (G1) at odds of 70-1 Oct. 6 at Keeneland, then finished second at 40-1 in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) here Nov. 2. Both came when Lasix was added and he should be involved every step, but he'll need to avoid a wide trip into the first turn from his tough outside post.

3rd pick: #7 (Limonite) (12-1) - He's gone 3-1-1-1 to date and has never been beaten more than a 'neck'. He broke his maiden here at this distance from an outside post (12-of-12) and when debuting Sept. 1 at Saratoga he was only a 'neck' behind 'Signalman'. Longshot must be left in the mix.

4th pick: #4 (Dunph) (8-1) - An easy winner of both sprints facing weaker, he won a minor stakes here going 7 furlongs Oct. 28. Speed/stalker is racing around two turns for the first time and gets a 'class' test this afternoon.

5th pick: #6 (Blue Steel) (15-1) - $270K purchase raced evenly when debuting here at 6 furlongs Sept. 15. Bet down to 2-1 favoritism that afternoon, he came back 6 weeks later and won by 5 lengths here going 7 furlongs. Colt had a huge half-mile bullet breeze Nov. 12 and may get a piece of this at a very big price.

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