Tommy Fleetwood vs. Xander Schauffele

Xander Schauffele and Tommy Fleetwood played their way to the exact same spot at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, both finishing tied for seventh at six under, so recent form isn't the separator here. The gap shows up over a longer look. Schauffele has won two majors in recent years, both built on approach play that's been about as good as anyone's in the world over that stretch, and Bellerive's demanding, tree-lined test with a premium on precise iron play sets up close to his identity as a course gets. Fleetwood's résumé took a real turn last year when he finally broke through at the Tour Championship for his first PGA Tour win and the FedEx Cup itself, and he's a legitimately elite ball-striker in his own right, but his career has been defined more by remarkable consistency than by the kind of finishing power Schauffele has shown when a big number is actually on the line. That's the edge in a razor-close moneyline like this one. Schauffele is the side at close to even money.