This Pro Pick was released to clients on August 19, 2026 at 2:46PM ET.
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Sungjae Im vs. Alex Noren

2026 BMW Championship

August 23, 2026
img7:00 AM Eastern

Alex Noren just outplayed Sungjae Im in the biggest spot of the summer. Both players climbed the FedEx Cup ladder off strong weeks in Memphis, but Noren did it a level higher: a tie for third at eight-under, one shot and two full spots clear of Im's tie for fifth. That's not ancient history; it's last week, at a course that demanded the same things Bellerive will ask for again. Bellerive's bentgrass greens are big, tiered, and unforgiving on anything short-sided, and that's exactly where Noren has separated himself all year. His putter ranks fifth on Tour in strokes gained this season, and his work around the green has been just as sharp, the kind of skill set that survives a course built to turn good approaches into three-putts. Im is a fine ball-striker, but this is a green-reading, scrambling test as much as a ball-striking one, and that's Noren's game. Both players are jockeying for position ahead of the Tour Championship cutoff, and Noren arrives with the calmer math and the better recent form to show for it. I like Noren in this spot, and at plus money for a guy who just beat this exact opponent by two spots on a similar setup, the number undersells him. Back Noren here. 

1 unit on Alex Noren +100 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
R1
R2
R3
R4
F
Sungjae Im img
67
64
70
71
-8
Alex Noren
71
69
65
74
-1
odds odds
 
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