Stephan Jaeger vs. Rasmus Hojgaard

Stephan Jaeger is the kind of grinder who doesn't need a hot putter to post a number, leaning on ball-striking that holds up when a course tightens rather than loosens. That's the more relevant skill this week, with a full renovation to Detroit's greens, bunkering, and irrigation turning a historically wide-open layout into a real test off the tee, at least until the field adjusts over the opening rounds. Rasmus Hojgaard has plenty of talent, but a newly reshaped course tends to reward the player who controls distance and trajectory into greens nobody in the field has read yet, and that's squarely Jaeger's game. He's built his season on steady tee-to-green numbers rather than hot stretches on the greens, and that travels well to a course nobody has solved. Jaeger is the bet to make here.