Si Woo Kim vs. Tommy Fleetwood

Muirfield Village is the kind of course that separates iron players from pretenders. The approach shots here are the test — fast, undulating bentgrass greens that punish anything short of precision from the fairway. Coming off a runner-up at the Byron Nelson, where he was also elite tee to green, Si Woo Kim arrives with his whole game pointed in the right direction. He ranks seventh on Tour in approach play this season, and over 53 measured rounds in 2026, he has gained over 1.5 strokes per round total — a mark that trails only Scottie Scheffler and Matt Fitzpatrick. The historical edge most players don't have here: Kim has gained strokes putting at Muirfield Village in six of his eight career starts, making this arguably his best career putting venue. Fleetwood, by contrast, has historically lost ground to the field at this course in his career, and his approach numbers over the last five events have gone negative — the exact thing that sinks a player at Jack's Place. Kim wins this matchup.