Si Woo Kim vs. Russell Henley

Si Woo Kim has been one of the best ball-strikers on tour all season, top five in the field in both approach play and tee-to-green strokes gained, the exact skill set that travels best around TPC Southwind's small, well-guarded greens. The one blemish is the putter, which has actually cost him strokes this year, an odd split for a player ranked this high overall. Russell Henley is the more balanced of the two, positive in both halves of his game, and he's built a genuinely strong track record on Bermuda greens and rough over the years, conditions Southwind shares. But Henley's edge here is a matter of degree, not kind, and Kim's tee-to-green advantage is wide enough to cover the putting gap on a course that rewards exactly what he does best. History at Southwind has been unpredictable for Kim, including one infamous meltdown hole, but the underlying ball-striking numbers are the stronger signal heading into a fresh week. Take Si Woo Kim -1.5 on the spread this week.