Shane Lowry vs. Min Woo Lee

Lowry has been here before in the way that matters most: he's a Champion Golfer of the Year who understands how to manage a tournament that turns into a test of patience and restraint rather than pure scoring. That profile becomes more relevant the firmer and windier this week gets, and Lowry's game has always traveled well to exactly those conditions. Lee is a talented, powerful ball-striker, but that power is largely neutralized at a course built around tight, generous off-the-tee fairways that punish anyone trying to simply overpower it rather than manage it, and his major results this season have been a mixed bag. Lowry's experience managing a leaderboard under pressure at a major he's already won gives him the edge in a matchup that should come down as much to composure as to ball-striking. Lowry is the play.