Robert MacIntyre vs. Min Woo Lee

The field at TPC River Highlands filters down fast. At a par-70 that plays under 6,850 yards, length off the tee matters less than almost anywhere else on Tour, but the players who find the short grass and hit small, precise greens consistently tend to be the ones near the top on Sunday. Min Woo Lee fits that profile cleanly. His ball-striking has been one of the steadier parts of his game this season, and he ranks inside the top 12 in the field in strokes gained off the tee while combining that with the iron game needed to attack River Highlands' smaller green surfaces. MacIntyre is a quality player and brings a nearly identical outright market price into this week, but Lee's overall strokes-gained picture has been tighter and more consistent across recent events. At essentially even money, this is a short-favorite pricing the market has nearly zeroed out on recency. Side with Lee.