Patrick Cantlay vs. Chris Gotterup

Cantlay has been the most reliable iron player on this piece of ground for the better part of a decade. His historical scoring average at TPC River Highlands sits second among all active regulars in this week's field across 24 rounds — a sustained track record on a Pete Dye course that asks a pointed question with every approach shot. His strokes gained on approach ranks sixth in this field, and he's 10th tee-to-green, which aligns precisely with what wins here. Gotterup has the ball-striking profile to compete on a course like this, but he doesn't have Cantlay's history at River Highlands, and history at this venue correlates more strongly than almost anywhere else on Tour. Lay the price and back Cantlay.