Nick Taylor vs. Andrew Novak

Andrew Novak has built one of the steadier ball-striking résumés on Tour this season, the kind of tee-to-green game that holds up when a golf course gets harder to solve rather than one that leans on scrambling to survive. That's the profile this week rewards. Detroit's composite layout underwent a real overhaul for its final playing — rebuilt greens, tightened bunkers, a reworked irrigation setup — turning a historically generous, low-scoring venue into a genuine test off the tee, at least until the field adjusts over the opening rounds. Nick Taylor is a capable player, but this is exactly the kind of week where discipline through the bag travels better than a game leaning on recovery shots to make up for missed greens. Novak's game is built for a course punishing anything loose right now, and the price here is close enough to a true coin flip that the edge sits with the player suited to the conditions rather than the bigger name. Novak is the play today.