Min Woo Lee vs. Alex Smalley

Alex Smalley is playing his first TOUR Championship in five years off a strong finish at BMW, and on paper his season-long numbers sit right there with Min Woo Lee's. Lee's own trip to East Lake carries that same five-year gap, and he comes in having cooled off at BMW after a red-hot summer that included a runner-up finish at the Scottish Open. That recent dip is the honest knock on him here. But Lee brings something Smalley doesn't: he's one of the longest hitters in the field at a course with two genuine par-5 scoring chances, and his around-the-green numbers have actually trended up over his last several starts even as the rest of his game cooled off. Two players with similar overall profiles, with Lee getting plus money as the more explosive ball-striker off the tee, is the value the board is handing out. Back Lee in this head-to-head matchup.