Ludvig Aberg vs. Matt Fitzpatrick

Ludvig Aberg has been one of the best players on the planet over the last three months — third in total strokes gained behind only Scheffler and Cameron Young, with six top-10 finishes in his last nine starts. The résumé is undeniable. The concern is equally well-documented: five of his last seven final rounds have come in at even par or worse, and he ranks 43rd on Tour in Sunday scoring in 2026. A 72-hole matchup at a course that punishes any kind of lapse is the wrong format for a player with that closing trend. Matt Fitzpatrick is the right format for this course and this moment. Three wins in 2026, second on Tour in strokes gained tee to green, and leads the entire Memorial field in strokes gained around the green over the last three months. That last number matters enormously at a venue that consistently ranks among the five most demanding short-game tests on the PGA Tour. The market prices Aberg ahead on world ranking. The form and fit point in the other direction. Take Fitzpatrick to win this matchup.