Hideki Matsuyama vs. Kristoffer Reitan

Matsuyama has been a quiet buy-low candidate heading into this week. His approach play has been gaining strokes in six of his last seven events, which is the skill that matters most on a course ranked second-shortest on the entire PGA Tour. His historical scoring average at TPC River Highlands places him ninth among the regulars in this field across 12 rounds — a meaningful data set that reflects genuine comfort on Pete Dye's small, demanding greens. Reitan has had excellent form of late and ranks near the top of this field in driving accuracy, but his course history here is thin compared to Matsuyama's established record. On a course where the long iron game and putting combination wins, Matsuyama's track record and current trajectory point in the same direction. Play Matsuyama.