Collin Morikawa vs. Chris Gotterup

Collin Morikawa and Chris Gotterup finished BMW dead even, both twelve-under, so the case against laying strokes here writes itself: these two are playing the same level of golf right now. But East Lake specifically rewards precise approach play into small greens, and that's the one category where this matchup isn't close. Morikawa's approach game ranks first on TOUR this season. Gotterup ranks outside the top 50. Morikawa has also been to this course and gone low before, a runner-up finish two years ago at twenty-six-under that's one of the best performances anyone has turned in at East Lake recently, while Gotterup's only trip here ended in a respectable but far more pedestrian tie for tenth. Two golfers playing similarly well right now, but only one has the specific skill this course demands and the track record to back it up. Side with Morikawa on the spread this weekend.