Ben Griffin vs. Chris Gotterup

Ben Griffin's game has been trending the right direction for two months now, and last week backed it up with a tied 10th at Travelers, his fourth top-10 finish in his last eight starts, built on four rounds of 67 or better. That form lines up well with what TPC Deere Run demands. This course is a birdie-fest where approach play and putting decide things, not off-the-tee accuracy, and Griffin's short game is built for exactly that test. He owns five rounds in the 60s across his six competitive rounds in Silvis, including a 64-62 finish that carried him to T5 in 2024. Chris Gotterup brings more thunder off the tee and sits as the highest-ranked player in the field, but his season has cooled since the PGA Championship, with short-game breakdowns costing him a top-25 finish in three straight starts. His lone Quad Cities result of note was a T4 on debut back in 2022, with nothing since to suggest the course plays to his strengths. I like Griffin's fit here more than the field's pricing reflects. Bet Griffin in this matchup.