Alex Smalley vs. Nick Taylor

Taylor's name recognition outpaces his recent major form. Since 2023, no player in the field has missed more major cuts than he has. That kind of pattern at the biggest events doesn't happen by accident, and Birkdale's demand for tight, controlled ball-striking off the tee isn't the spot to expect a turnaround. Smalley is the quieter name in this pairing, but he's a steady enough ball-striker that a plus-money price on him against a player with this specific major-week history looks generous. I'm not asking Smalley to be great this week, just competent, and that should be enough given who's standing across from him. Side with Smalley.