Vanderbilt Commodores vs W. Kentucky Hilltoppers Point Spread Picks

Vanderbilt has started off 0-1 on the road, and since 1986 they have suffered through 10 winless campaigns on the road. A lot of that has to do with the fact that the bulk of those games are played against really strong SEC teams, where they are 22-112 SU since 1980. Things look a lot different when they travel out of conference where they stand at a much more competitive 23-30 SU. They are an under-the-radar 17-13 SU as a road team in their last 30, and most of those games have been vs. Power 5 competition. Western. Kentucky has seldom seen a Power 5 conference team at home, with the only other matchup vs. Indiana, which was a 38-21 loss. Vandy has a limited offense, but does possess a very strong defense, one that has allowed just 21.8 points per game since the start of last season, and a lot of those games were vs. elite teams. Vandy has had success vs. Conference USA teams since the start of last season where they are 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS, winning by 8.3 ppg. As expected, Western Kentucky was buried by Alabama and struggled vs. a weak Miami, Ohio team, winning by just seven on the road as a -16.5 favorite. I think the Hilltoppers, off a strong 2015, are overrated here in the early going. Take the points on Vanderbilt.