Texas State Bobcats vs UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns Point Spread Picks

Texas State will attempt to regain its early-season success, having won three of its first four games, with the only loss coming against highly favored Arizona State. The Bobcats are favored in this game due to UL Lafayette's 3-6 record, although it does come off a 31-22 win over South Alabama. Texas State will look to avenge last year's 23-17 loss to the Ragin' Cajuns. The Bobcats lead the Sun Belt Conference with 471.1 total offense yards while scoring 34.1 points per game. They are 5-0 ATS in their past five games following a double-digit home loss, and the Bobcats have covered four of five November games. The Ragin' Cajuns have lost eight of their past 11 games, and they have allowed 50-plus points twice this season against Missouri and Marshall. Texas State QB Brad Jackson is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 2,016 yards with 10 TDs this season. The Bobcats have plenty of weapons and can score quickly. Take Texas State. 

UL Lafayette is on a four-game win streak after defeating Coastal Carolina 34-24 and the Ragin' Cajuns covered as a 6.5-point favorite. Ben Wooldridge threw for 373 yards and three TD passes with no interceptions, Elijah Davis ran for 110 yards and Terrance Carter caught seven passes for 149 yards. The Cajuns have covered 10 of the past 11 meetings with Texas State while winning 10 in a row outright. UL Lafayette is 4-1 ATS its past five road games and 12-6 UNDER against Sun Belt West Division opponents. Five of its past six October games have stayed UNDER. Texas State has gone UNDER three straight after losing 24-14 to Old Dominion as a 10.5-point favorite and staying UNDER by 22.5 points. Jordan McCloud was just 17 of 33 for 173 yards with a TD and two interceptions for the Bobcats, who managed only two scores while outgaining the Monarchs. Texas State is 1-9 ATS before playing UL Monroe and the Warhawks are next week's opponent. Take UL Lafayette and the UNDER.

Texas State is 4-1, including a win at Baylor and the Bobcats come off a 50-38 victory over Southern Miss after almost blowing a 42-10 halftime lead. Ismail Mahdi returned the opening kick 100 yards for a touchdown and he finished with 317 all-purpose yards and four TDs. TJ Finley completed 19 of 24 for 339 yards and two TDs for the Bobcats, who are 5-0 ATS as road underdogs of 0.5-3.0 points. UL Lafayette is 1-5 ATS its past six games after losing 35-24 to Minnesota. This is a huge posted total even though they each allow 29.0 points per game. The UNDER is 7-0-1 in the Ragin' Cajuns' past eight games versus teams with winning road records and they have gone UNDER four straight as home favorites of 0.5-3.0 points. Texas State is 8-1 ATS its past nine games in a revenge spot after allowing at least 35 points its previous game. Play Texas State and the UNDER.