Texas State’s defense is coming off a nightmare, gashed for 59 points in a road loss to Texas that exposed real issues up front. UTSA handled its own business at home, beating UT Rio Grande Valley 45-16 in a game that didn’t require the offense to do anything spectacular. A home team with a defense this exposed, fresh off a game that got away from it, is exactly the profile I look to fade on the spread, and UTSA gets a number here that’s more generous than the class gap probably calls for. Several separate systems back UTSA on this side, and the throughline across them is the same: a road team playing with some momentum lined up against a home team that just got its own defense picked apart by a real offense. Texas State still has more than enough talent to win this game outright, but covering a number this size right after what just happened to that defense is a much tougher ask, and nothing about last week’s performance suggests the Bobcats have that fixed in a week. Take the points with UTSA, and I expect this one to still be well within reach in the fourth quarter.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Roadrunners vs. Bobcats Spread Picks
Get this week's Roadrunners vs. Bobcats point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Roadrunners vs. Bobcats.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 54% of the public bets were on TX-SA Roadrunners on the +1.5 ATS. 75% of the public money was on Texas State Bobcats to win on the moneyline. And, 86% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Texas State would win by a score of 33.4 to 33.3, Texas-San Antonio winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
CFB
Texas-San Antonio at Texas State
3:30 PM Eastern
Final Score
CFB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on TX-SA Roadrunners on the -4.5 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Texas State would win by a score of 32.5 to 31.6 with Texas State winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
CFB
Texas State at Texas-San Antonio
3:30 PM Eastern
The Texas State defense played very well last season and looks like the strength of the team again. The offense has question marks. They rolled in the opener over Eastern Michigan as a 14-point favorite, 52-17, with freshman QB Brad Jackson. Texas State shut down the Texas-San Antonio offense last September in a 49-10 rout. Texas-San Antonio was 7-of-20 on third down and had 334 yards (82 rushing, 2.7 ypc). Texas-San Antonio comes off a 42-24 loss to No. 19 Texas A&M. Two years ago, these teams met on this field and Texas State won, 20-13, sailing way UNDER the total of 66. Play Texas State/Texas-San Antonio UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on Texas State Bobcats on the -2.5 ATS. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Texas-San Antonio would win by a score of 33.0 to 29.5 with Texas-San Antonio winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Texas State Bobcats on the +14 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Texas-San Antonio would win by a score of 37.9 to 22.3 with Texas-San Antonio winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Texas State Bobcats on the -5.5 ATS. And, 58% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Texas State would win by a score of 30.5 to 24.5 with Texas State winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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