Texas State Bobcats vs Troy Trojans Point Spread Picks

Trojans vs. Bobcats Spread Picks

Get this week's Trojans vs. Bobcats point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Trojans vs. Bobcats.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Troy Trojans on the +7 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Texas State would win by a score of 30.9 to 23.4 with Texas State winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 09, 2025 at 12:13PM ET.

CFB

Troy at Texas State

October 11, 2025

8:00 PM Eastern

Troy's quarterbacks have thrown seven TDs and six picks while getting sacked 16 times. The ground game averages 4.0 yards per carry, anchored by RB Tae Meadows (416 yards). Troy is on a 17-11 run UNDER the total. Texas State's defense has allowed 30 total points in two home games. They're on a 10-8 run UNDER the total. Troy ranks 79th in the nation on third down (37.5%), while Texas State ranks 51st. Take Troy/Texas State UNDER the total. 

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Troy Trojans

7

10

10

14

48

Texas State Bobcats

28

3

7

3

41

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Troy Trojans on the +14 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Texas State would win by a score of 32.2 to 25.2 with Texas State winning on the moneyline, Troy winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Texas State Bobcats

14

14

10

0

38

Troy Trojans

0

10

7

0

17

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on Troy Trojans on the -6.5 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Troy would win by a score of 27.8 to 24.0 with Troy winning on the moneyline, Texas State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Troy Trojans

0

7

7

17

31

Texas State Bobcats

7

3

3

0

13

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Troy Trojans on the -16.5 ATS. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Troy would win by a score of 29.6 to 15.0 with Troy winning on the moneyline, Texas State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 12, 2023 at 10:06AM ET.

CFB

Texas State at Troy

October 15, 2022

3:30 PM Eastern

Troy has opened the season at 4-2. The two losses were against some strong competition in Ole Miss and Appalachian St. The Trojans played above the line in those games and covered them both by a combined 13.5 points. Troy has been impressive thus far as they have covered all 5 of their games vs FBS opponents. Texas St. is off a huge upset win over Appalachian St as a 19-point underdog. The stats tell a different story however as they were out-gained by over 100 yards. This looks to be a huge flat spot for the Bobcats taking to the road after a huge upset. There isn't much else on the Bobcat's resume, and I think Troy will have both eyes open here after seeing the Bobcat's big win. Make the play on Troy in this one.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Texas State Bobcats

0

7

7

0

14

Troy Trojans

0

10

0

7

17

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 61% of the public bets were on Troy Trojans on the -7.5 ATS. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Troy would win by a score of 26.4 to 21.9 with Troy winning on the moneyline, Texas State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 12, 2023 at 10:06AM ET.

CFB

Troy at Texas State

October 16, 2021

3:00 PM Eastern

Troy has had a tough schedule, but it has played well, losing 23-14 at South Carolina of the SEC, beating Southern Miss (21-9), and then topping Georgia Southern last week, 27-24. Troy is 12-5 ATS as a road favorite, 9-3 on Field-Turf, and 20-8 ATS on the road after allowing 125 or fewer rushing yards in two straight. They face a Texas State squad that has gone 17-60 over the last six-plus seasons. This Texas State team has no defense, surrendering 42, 59, and 31 points the last three games. One of those was a 42-28 loss to Incarnate Word while allowing 455 yards (376 passing). It was Incarnate Word's first win ever over an FBS team. The Texas State ground game averages 3.6 yards per rush, and sophomore QB Brady McBride has 9 TDs with 6 INTs while getting sacked 14 times. Troy has covered five of the last six meetings, including a 37-17 rout last year with an edge in yards, 488-254. Play Troy.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Troy Trojans

10

7

7

7

31

Texas State Bobcats

7

7

14

0

28