TCU had a season for the ages a year ago but lost in the National Championship to Georgia. This team still has talent, but the Colorado Buffaloes, who threw for 510 yards, shredded the Horned Frogs at home. This is a rather big state rivalry vs. SMU and for the last three years, this has resulted in a one-possession game. SMU has shown a strong defense as they held Oklahoma to a season-low 28 points and allowed just 14 PPG. This has not been a good series for the home team, as they have posted a 1-10-1 ATS mark in the last 12. I think these teams are closer than it looks. Make the play on SMU.
Previous Matchups & Picks


Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on TCU Horned Frogs on the -1 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that TCU would win by a score of 30.5 to 29.4 with TCU winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
CFB Premium Pick Results
Here’s how my premium picks are performing.


Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on TCU Horned Frogs on the -6.5 ATS. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that TCU would win by a score of 36.3 to 30.6 with TCU winning on the moneyline, SMU winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
SMU at TCU
Final Score


Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on TCU Horned Frogs on the -2.5 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 37.1 to 34.1 with SMU winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Premium Picks
TCU at SMU
Unbeaten TCU is clicking under coach Sonny Dykes outscoring opponents by a 48.5 to 15 average. QB Max Duggan (5 TDs, 0 INTs) leads a balanced offense that is averaging 6.8 yards per rush. Dykes is 19-8 ATS after playing two consecutive non-conference games. SMU comes off a 34-27 loss to Maryland turning it over three times while the defense allowed 439 yards (225 rushing). It was the first loss for new coach Rhett Lashlee. SMU is 46-69 ATS off of a road loss, plus 19-35 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. And college football teams like SMU off a game allowing 6.25 or more yards per play versus a team that outgained its opponent by 175+ total yards is 31-70 ATS when the betting line is between +3 to -3. Play TCU.
Final Score


Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the +9.5 ATS. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that TCU would win by a score of 38.3 to 27.3 with TCU winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score


Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public bets were on TCU Horned Frogs on the -0.5 ATS. 60% of the public money was on SMU Mustangs to win on the moneyline. And, 87% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 38.5 to 26.5 with SMU winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.