SMU Mustangs vs TCU Horned Frogs Point Spread Picks

Mustangs vs. Horned Frogs Spread Picks

Get this week's Mustangs vs. Horned Frogs point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Mustangs vs. Horned Frogs.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 68% of the public bets were on TCU Horned Frogs on the -6.5 ATS. And, 72% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that TCU would win by a score of 35.3 to 29.6 with TCU winning on the moneyline, SMU winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on September 18, 2025 at 10:19AM ET.

CFB

SMU at TCU

September 20, 2025

12:00 PM Eastern

SMU is averaging 453 yards and 36.5 points behind QB Kevin Jennings (6 TDs, 3 INTs). Their only loss was to Baylor, 48-45, tied 38-38 at the end of regulation. The defense allowed 601 yards. They face a TCU offense under coach Sonny Dykes that is seventh in the nation in total yards (542 per game) and fourth in points (48 per game). They rolled up 542 yards at North Carolina, winning 48-14. There was no defense in last year's meeting between these teams. SMU won, 66-42, with 238 rushing yards, while TCU lost despite 480 total yards. TCU is on an 11-6 run OVER the total. Play SMU/TCU OVER the total. 

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

SMU Mustangs

3

7

7

7

24

TCU Horned Frogs

7

7

7

14

35

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on TCU Horned Frogs on the -1 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that TCU would win by a score of 30.5 to 29.4 with TCU winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

TCU Horned Frogs

0

21

7

14

42

SMU Mustangs

17

24

18

7

66

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on TCU Horned Frogs on the -6.5 ATS. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that TCU would win by a score of 36.3 to 30.6 with TCU winning on the moneyline, SMU winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on September 21, 2023 at 10:29AM ET.

CFB

SMU at TCU

September 23, 2023

12:00 PM Eastern

TCU had a season for the ages a year ago but lost in the National Championship to Georgia. This team still has talent, but the Colorado Buffaloes, who threw for 510 yards, shredded the Horned Frogs at home. This is a rather big state rivalry vs. SMU and for the last three years, this has resulted in a one-possession game. SMU has shown a strong defense as they held Oklahoma to a season-low 28 points and allowed just 14 PPG. This has not been a good series for the home team, as they have posted a 1-10-1 ATS mark in the last 12. I think these teams are closer than it looks. Make the play on SMU.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

SMU Mustangs

3

7

0

7

17

TCU Horned Frogs

7

7

13

7

34

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on TCU Horned Frogs on the -2.5 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 37.1 to 34.1 with SMU winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on September 21, 2023 at 10:29AM ET.

CFB

TCU at SMU

September 24, 2022

12:00 PM Eastern

Unbeaten TCU is clicking under coach Sonny Dykes outscoring opponents by a 48.5 to 15 average. QB Max Duggan (5 TDs, 0 INTs) leads a balanced offense that is averaging 6.8 yards per rush. Dykes is 19-8 ATS after playing two consecutive non-conference games. SMU comes off a 34-27 loss to Maryland turning it over three times while the defense allowed 439 yards (225 rushing). It was the first loss for new coach Rhett Lashlee. SMU is 46-69 ATS off of a road loss, plus 19-35 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. And college football teams like SMU off a game allowing 6.25 or more yards per play versus a team that outgained its opponent by 175+ total yards is 31-70 ATS when the betting line is between +3 to -3. Play TCU.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

TCU Horned Frogs

14

14

0

14

42

SMU Mustangs

0

14

7

13

34

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the +9.5 ATS. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that TCU would win by a score of 38.3 to 27.3 with TCU winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

SMU Mustangs

14

7

14

7

42

TCU Horned Frogs

14

7

6

7

34