Troy is 2-2 and has one win over an FBS opponent, a three-point escape against Sam Houston in the opener. Its other win came against FCS Alabama State by 17, and its two losses to Missouri and Utah State came with the offense stuck at 17 and 10 points and five turnovers between them. Troy leans on the run under a new offensive coordinator, and Southern Miss is the kind of defense that invites it, having given up 343 rushing yards to Auburn and 281 to Tulane. That sets up a game Troy leads and Southern Miss never leaves. Landry Lyddy threw for 243 yards and three touchdowns without a turnover in the three-point loss at Tulane, and Southern Miss has put up 401 yards in each of its last two games with an offense that says it wants to play fast. When Troy runs on this defense, it will score, and when it scores, Southern Miss can answer through the air, which keeps the margin short and still pushes the score up. Southern Miss games have produced 52, 51, 68 and 45 points, and the total has climbed since it opened. I expect Troy to lead most of the night, but its only win by more than a field goal came against an FCS team, and a 2-2 team coming off two straight losses hasn't shown it can put an FBS opponent away. Take Southern Miss with the points and the OVER tonight.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Golden Eagles vs. Trojans Spread Picks
Get this week's Golden Eagles vs. Trojans point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Golden Eagles vs. Trojans.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 51% of the public bets were on Troy Trojans on the -9.5 ATS. 94% of the public money was on Troy Trojans to win on the moneyline. And, 72% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Troy would win by a score of 29.8 to 20.7 with Troy winning on the moneyline, Southern Miss winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
CFB
Southern Miss at Troy
8:00 PM Eastern
Final Score
CFB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on S. Miss Golden Eagles on the -6.5 ATS. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Southern Miss would win by a score of 27.8 to 23.7 with Southern Miss winning on the moneyline, Troy winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 68% of the public bets were on Troy Trojans on the -17.5 ATS. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Troy would win by a score of 32.3 to 14.5 with Troy winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public bets were on Troy Trojans on the -17 ATS. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Troy would win by a score of 32.5 to 16.2 with Troy winning on the moneyline, Southern Miss winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
CFB
Troy at Southern Miss
12:00 PM Eastern
Troy will be looking for a 10-win season as they travel to take on Southern Miss. If they get to 10 wins it will be the fifth time in the past eight years they have done so. It has not been a good year for Southern Miss at 3-8 and there isn't much for this team to play for as this will be their last game regardless of the outcome. Troy hs allowed just 16.6 PPG on the season and the Southern Miss offense is not going to be able to move the ball. Troy also averages 8.3 yards per pass attempt, and that plays right into the weakest part of this Southern Miss team that allows 8.9 yards per pass attempt. Troy is now 10-1 ATS on the road over the past two seasons and I think they add one more cover to the win column on Saturday. Make the play on Troy.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 68% of the public bets were on Troy Trojans on the -7 ATS. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Troy would win by a score of 24.6 to 21.5 with Troy winning on the moneyline, Southern Miss winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Get free CFB Picks
I pour over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning. You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.
Get a top-rated pick every day.