Western Kentucky at New Mexico State

I had the OVER in New Mexico State's game against Mercyhurst nearly four weeks ago, and it cashed in a 51-14 final. The Aggies are 1-3 and have turned the ball over three times in each of their last two games, losing 29-19 at Hawaii and then 42-18 at home to New Mexico. Five days after that home loss, they are the favorite in this one. Western Kentucky is also 1-3, with losses to Georgia and Indiana. The Hilltoppers' defense has allowed 41.0 points a game, which is the strongest case for the Aggies. Georgia and Indiana account for 108 of those 164 points, while the Aggies' defense has allowed 29.75 points per game. Western Kentucky beat the same Mercyhurst team 52-7 and gained 596 yards, 42 more than New Mexico State did. Respected money has come in on the Hilltoppers to win outright. Western Kentucky is the play on the spread tonight.