Penn State at Temple

Penn State was in complete control from the jump, blanking Marshall 45-0 in an opener that never let the Thundering Herd get anything going, and the Nittany Lions come in ranked in the top twenty. Temple held up its own end at home, beating Rhode Island 38-14 while playing a ball-control style that ate clock. This is precisely the profile I want on a mid-range total: a team fresh off a shutout win pairing with an opponent that just won by controlling time of possession rather than trading scores. Penn State is a massive favorite here and has no reason to abandon a run-heavy, clock-eating approach once this one gets comfortable, while Temple's own offense showed last week it wants to grind rather than sling it around. Blowouts against overmatched competition don't automatically push these numbers over; more often they cap them once the backups take the field. I expect Penn State to control this one thoroughly without needing to keep the offense in scoring mode into the fourth quarter. The UNDER is the play, and I like it to come in comfortably.