North Texas at Alabama

Yes, this is laying a ton of wood, but justifiably so. Alabama is loaded once again and the defense is as good as it gets. They also have a Heisman hopeful taking handoffs out of the backfield, so big numbers are expected here at home. The Tide won't be bashful here vs. North Texas. THey won 53-7 a couple of years ago against an arguably a better North Texas team and as we know, style points matter in the BCS. This is a team that beat Georgia State by 56 and Duke by 49 on the road. They also delivered a resounding 49-point Bowl win vs. Michigan State. North Texas is obviously way over-matched here. Overall in their last six games dating back to last year, the Mean Green have coughed-up 40+ in five of them. The likelihood of them even scoring here is remote, and Bama is more than capable of hanging 50+ here. North Texas owns a pathetic 4-17 ATS mark in their last 21 vs. a winning team, while the Tide has rolled to a 13-3 ATS mark in non-conference tilts in their last 16. Nick Saban is 30-16 ATS during the first month of the season. This line is big, but not big enough. Lay the points.