This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 01, 2026 at 1:47PM ET.
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Louisville at NC State

October 3, 2026
img3:30 PM Eastern

I had the UNDER in Louisville's game against Wake Forest last week, and it cashed in a 30-27 final. Louisville lost that game at home, which made it 2-2, the same record as NC State. Both defenses leak. Louisville has allowed at least 30 points in three of its four games, and NC State has allowed 34, 35 and 31 in its three games against FBS opponents. Five of the six FBS games these teams have played finished within 10 points, including Louisville's losses at Ole Miss and to Wake Forest, each by 3, and NC State's 4-point loss at Vanderbilt. NC State has scored at least 31 in three of its four games, and it ran for 206 yards against App State last week while CJ Bailey completed 24 of 33 passes. Louisville's run defense has allowed 257 yards to SMU and 177 to Wake Forest. Respected money has come in on NC State with the points. NC State is the bet this afternoon.

1 unit on NC State +4 (-112) (risk 1 to return 1.89)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Louisville Cardinals
0
7
14
7
28
NC State Wolfpack img
3
10
15
3
31
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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