Delaware St at South Florida

I had South Florida's total UNDER last week, and it beat me: a 28-24 track meet against Army that blew right through the number after I bet on a grind-it-out game. New head coach Brian Hartline's offense showed it wants to play fast, and that identity is walking right back onto the field tonight against a Delaware State team that's a significant underdog but has still scored nearly 26 points a game, including a 41-point outing against Stony Brook. South Florida's defense has given up 16.5 points a game, respectable on paper, but that number came against Florida International and Army, not a Delaware State offense that has shown it can move against lesser competition. A new staff still building its identity has every reason to keep scoring in a game this lopsided rather than sit on a lead, and the informed money is already leaning this way, with real dollars on the total outpacing the ticket count by a wide margin. I like the OVER here.