img CFB

Connecticut at Oklahoma

January 1, 2011
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is David vs. Goliath and my guess is that the Oklahoma Sooners aren't feeling very motivated by what is deemed a vastly inferior opponent. The Huskies were at long odds to be here when they opened Big East play at 0-2, but came back to win their last five games of the season. Here they are in their first ever BCS Bowl game. You can bet they are going to be up for this game and out to prove the critics wrong. The Huskies have one of the best offensive lines in the country, as well as an NFL caliber back in junior Jordan Todman. Todman rushed for almost 1,600 yards despite missing a game, and will be getting his number called a lot here against a Sooners defense that allowed 169 rushing yards per game over their last five games. UConn has a sneaky opportunistic defense and has gotten four pick-sixes this season as well as a pair of TDs on kick returns, while the offense has not had any throws go back the other way, or any special teams TDs against them. Landry Jones has had a good season for OU, but he has shown the propensity to complete passes to the wrong team (11 INTs), and that is the UConn forte. Oklahoma's defense is not very good, having allowed 24+ points in seven of 13 games this season. One team here is playing in the school's biggest game ever, while the other is disappointed and facing a huge line to tackle. Bob Stoops has dropped five straight BCS Bowls when he had better teams than this. Connecticut is 9-2 ATS since last season vs. winning teams and a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. great passing teams (62%+ completions). My computer matchup predicts a two-touchdown win by the Sooners. I like UConn and the bushel of points.

3 units on Connecticut +16 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Connecticut Huskies
0
10
10
0
20
Oklahoma Sooners img
14
6
14
14
48
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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