Purdue's last three games have finished with 63, 74, and 90 combined points, but that's a function of the Boilermakers' defense getting torched, not proof of what happens against a unit like Notre Dame's. The Irish have allowed 10 points or fewer in two of their three games, including a Big Ten defense holding Michigan State to just 10, and that's the level of competition Purdue actually plays at. I had Wake Forest's total UNDER against Purdue two weeks ago, and it blew past the number, but Wake's defense isn't anything like what's showing up in South Bend. Notre Dame is favored by a wide margin here, and games like that tend to see the loser's offense stall out entirely once the game gets out of hand, capping the total even as the favorite keeps its own number moving. Purdue's defense has been generous all year, but Notre Dame's has been the opposite, and that's the side of the ball that decides this one. The UNDER is the play.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Fighting Irish vs. Boilermakers Spread Picks
Get this week's Fighting Irish vs. Boilermakers point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Fighting Irish vs. Boilermakers.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 51% of the public bets were on Purdue Boilermakers on the +27.5 ATS. 98% of the public money was on Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win on the moneyline. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Notre Dame would win by a score of 43.1 to 14.7 with Notre Dame winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Notre Dame at Purdue
Final Score
CFB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Purdue Boilermakers on the +24.5 ATS. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Notre Dame would win by a score of 38.5 to 11.8 with Notre Dame winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public bets were on Purdue Boilermakers on the +7 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Notre Dame would win by a score of 32.1 to 17.9 with Notre Dame winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 54% of the public bets were on Notre Dame Fighting Irish on the -7.5 ATS. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Notre Dame would win by a score of 34.6 to 25.1 with Notre Dame winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Purdue at Notre Dame
Notre Dame had an obvious letdown after its big overtime win against Florida State and barely beat Toledo 32-29. The Rockets matched the Fighting Irish with 132 rushing yards and Jack Coan threw the game-winning 18-yard touchdown pass with a dislocated finger. Otherwise, it was a rough day for Coan, who was sacked six times, threw an interception that was returned for a TD and also fumbled. That doesn't bode well coming into this game as Purdue is off to a great start outscoring opponents 79-21 in its first two games against Oregon State and Connecticut. Jack Plummer completed 16 of 20 for 245 yards and four TDs against the Huskies and David Bell caught six passes for 121 yards and three scores. This is the first meeting since 2014 and Purdue is 17-5 ATS its past 22 games as an underdog overall, 19-6-2 ATS as a road dog. Also, the Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS their past 14 non-conference games. Notre Dame has not covered its last four as a home favorite and the Irish are 1-5 ATS their last six home games overall. Play Purdue.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 62% of the public bets were on Notre Dame Fighting Irish on the -30 ATS. 67% of the public money was on Purdue Boilermakers to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Notre Dame would win by a score of 47.4 to 12.1 with Notre Dame winning on the moneyline and on the spread.
Final Score
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