North Texas Mean Green vs Utah State Aggies Point Spread Picks

NEW MEXICO BOWL - Utah State has had a great season, and finished at 10-2. They went on a 10-game winning streak where they were quite dominant. The question mark for this team is that they played on the weak side of the Mountain West Conference, and their 10 wins came against a schedule of teams that combined to go 40-80. Seven of the teams they beat allowed 35.4 points per game or more. Eight of those teams also averaged 28.8 points per game or fewer. While they did play tough teams tough, they have a lot of nothing wins. North Texas is 9-3 and their losses are by a combined 13 points, and have wins vs. SMU and Arkansas by impressive 50 combined points. The Mean Green score 36.4 points per game more than any team Utah State has beaten all season, and they allow 21.8 ppg, fewer than all but two teams the Aggies have beaten all season. QB Mason Fine cut his INT's from 15 last year to just five this season, and the junior is just under 10,000 yards for his career. North Texas is the only team in the entire FBS that outgained every team on its schedule. A lot will go against them as they have failed to cover in five straight games, but teams in their Bowl game failing to cover in five straight or more have gone 19-10 ATS. When they are a dog of 6.5 or more, they are 7-1 ATS winning outright six times! Play on North Texas.