North Texas had a fine offense in 2023 but lost QB Chandler Rogers to the transfer portal. QB Chandler Morris comes over from TCU and has to learn the new system. South Alabama also lost its starting quarterback, in addition to its top running back and leading receiver. Redshirt freshman quarterback Gio Lopez saw some time last year (4 TDs, 2 INTs). The Jaguars had the second-best total defense in the Sun Belt in 2023, allowing an average of 313.2 total yards and 21 points per contest. Four of their last six at home have gone UNDER and this total is too high with all the offensive uncertainties. Play North Texas/South Alabama UNDER the total.
Previous Matchups & Picks
September 27, 2025 12:00pm ET
@
South Alabama Jaguars
#171
North Texas Mean Green
#172
Lines & Odds
+13 (-110)
ATS
-13 (-110)
+367
Moneyline
-490
OVER 63.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 63.5 (-110)
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Mean Green Spread Picks
Get this week's South Alabama Jaguars vs. Mean Green point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between South Alabama Jaguars vs. Mean Green.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 72% of the public bets were on North Texas Mean Green on the -13 ATS. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that North Texas would win by a score of 38.6 to 26.5 with North Texas winning on the moneyline, South Alabama winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
South Alabama Jaguars
7
0
7
8
22
North Texas Mean Green 
7
7
14
8
36
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August 31, 2024 5:00pm ET
@
North Texas Mean Green
#195
South Alabama Jaguars
#196
Lines & Odds
+6.5 (-110)
ATS
-6.5 (-110)
+182
Moneyline
-221
OVER 62 (-110)
Total
UNDER 62 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public bets were on South Alabama Jaguars on the -6.5 ATS. And, 56% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that South Alabama would win by a score of 33.8 to 29.2 with South Alabama winning on the moneyline, North Texas winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
This Pro Pick was released to clients on August 29, 2024 at 12:31PM ET.
CFB
North Texas at South Alabama
August 31, 2024
5:00 PM Eastern
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
North Texas Mean Green
7
7
28
10
52
South Alabama Jaguars
3
16
7
12
38
November 10, 2012 5:00pm ET
@
South Alabama Jaguars
#211
North Texas Mean Green
#212
Lines & Odds
+6.5 (-105)
ATS
-6.5 (-111)
+228
Moneyline
-264
OVER 49.5 (-109)
Total
UNDER 49.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public bets were on North Texas Mean Green on the -6.5 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that North Texas would win by a score of 27.4 to 20.9 with North Texas winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
South Alabama Jaguars
7
7
0
0
14
North Texas Mean Green
7
7
10
0
24
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