Previous Matchups & Picks

September 1, 2025 8:00pm ET
@
TCU Horned Frogs
TCU Horned Frogs
#233
North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels
#234

Lines & Odds

-3.5 (-115)
ATS
+3.5 (-105)
-176
Moneyline
+150
OVER 55 (-105)
Total
UNDER 55 (-115)

Horned Frogs vs. Tar Heels Spread Picks

Get this week's Horned Frogs vs. Tar Heels point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Horned Frogs vs. Tar Heels.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on TCU Horned Frogs on the -3.5 ATS. And, 55% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that TCU would win by a score of 32.5 to 27.8 with TCU winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

These Pro Picks were released to clients on August 31, 2025 at 10:52AM ET.
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TCU at North Carolina

September 1, 2025
img8:00 PM Eastern

The Bill Belichick era begins at North Carolina, and he opens as an underdog against TCU, which is 1-4 ATS in its past five September games. Gio Lopez has been named the starting quarterback for the Tarheels after he led South Alabama to a 7-6 record and a bowl appearance last year. Lopez threw for 2,559 yards and 18 TDs while rushing for 465 yards and seven scores for the Jaguars. North Carolina needs to replace Omarion Hampton, its top rusher and pass-catcher in 2024. Davion Gause appears to be the answer after totaling 326 yards on 4.9 yards per carry. The Tarheels likely will start eight transfers on defense, and they are expected to have a strong secondary. Josh Hoover returns under center for the Horned Frogs, although he'll have to rely on several new receivers as TCU lost 2,378 yards and 17 TDs when their top receiving corps left for the NFL. Eric McAlister is expected to be the top receiver this season after he had 39 catches for 762 yards and five TDs last year. TCU is 2-8 ATS in its past 10 weekday games. Take North Carolina.

North Carolina went UNDER six of its last nine games in 2024 and TCU stayed UNDER five of its last eight. Steve Belichick joins his dad as defensive coordinator after having the same position at Washington. The Huskies finished #28 in the country in yards allowed under his leadership. North Carolina is 8-1 UNDER its past nine games as an underdog. The Horned Frogs bring back eight defensive starters after allowing 25 points per game last season. Take the UNDER.

 

Final Score

1
2
3
4
F
TCU Horned Frogs img
7
13
21
7
48
North Carolina Tar Heels
7
0
7
0
14

CFB Pro Pick Results

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CFBCFB All Picks last 13.0 years
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228
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295
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