North Carolina Tar Heels vs Pittsburgh Panthers Point Spread Picks

Tar Heels vs. Panthers Spread Picks

Get this week's Tar Heels vs. Panthers point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Tar Heels vs. Panthers.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 55% of the public bets were on Pittsburgh Panthers on the -3.5 ATS. 86% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Panthers to win on the moneyline. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 27.0 to 21.1 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 08, 2026 at 12:19PM ET.

CFB

North Carolina at Pittsburgh

October 10, 2026

12:00 PM Eastern

I laid the points with Notre Dame at North Carolina last Saturday, and the Tar Heels covered in a 37-26 loss. Pitt is 5-0 and tied for 13th in points allowed at 13.4 per game. It won its last game 35-33 at Virginia Tech, gaining 295 yards and allowing 499, 434 through the air, and forcing four turnovers. Pitt gained 368 yards against Syracuse and 315 against UCF. Two of Pitt's four FBS games have been decided by five points or fewer, and the other two by 14 and 45. North Carolina has lost to Clemson by eight and to Notre Dame by 11, and its defense ranks 43rd at 19.5 points per game. Respected money is on North Carolina with the points. North Carolina is the right side. 
 

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

North Carolina Tar Heels

0

7

7

7

21

Pittsburgh Panthers

7

3

0

7

17

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 69% of the public bets were on Pittsburgh Panthers on the -2.5 ATS. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 34.1 to 32.0 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline, North Carolina winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Pittsburgh Panthers

3

14

7

10

34

North Carolina Tar Heels

7

10

7

0

24

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 66% of the public bets were on North Carolina Tar Heels on the -7 ATS. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that North Carolina would win by a score of 27.6 to 26.0 with North Carolina winning on the moneyline, Pittsburgh winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on September 21, 2023 at 10:29AM ET.

CFB

North Carolina at Pittsburgh

September 23, 2023

8:00 PM Eastern

Pittsburgh won their opener easily, but the trend in their last two games vs. West Virginia and Cincinnati exposed their offense. The Panthers managed just 27 total points in the two games. The good news is the defense has allowed 51 total points in three games, or just 17 per contest, as they prepare for North Carolina. The Heels offense is not as good as a year ago, but it is still good. The issue is the defense allowed over 500 yards to Appalachian St. and 437 yards to South Carolina. North Carolina can't run the ball and Pitt has been great against the pass. This game is a matchup made for Pitt to excel, and outperform expectations. Make the play on Pittsburgh.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

North Carolina Tar Heels

7

21

13

0

41

Pittsburgh Panthers

7

10

7

0

24

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 67% of the public bets were on North Carolina Tar Heels on the -2.5 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that North Carolina would win by a score of 35.4 to 31.8 with North Carolina winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 26, 2023 at 8:56AM ET.

CFB

Pittsburgh at North Carolina

October 29, 2022

8:00 PM Eastern

Pittsburgh is not going to try and get into a run-and-gun game against North Carolina. Pitt's three QBs have combined for 7 TDs, 5 picks. They will turn to the terrific ground attack in RBs Israel Abanikanda (955 yards, 6.1 ypc) and Vincent Davis (239 yards, 5.6 ypc) to keep the chains and the clock moving. They tried that strategy at Louisville last week running for 168 yards and lost a low-scoring game, 24-10, because of 4 turnovers. Pitt's defense is very good, No. 25 in yards allowed, even holding the No. 1 offense in the nation (Tennessee) to 34 points in a close one. Pitt is 30-16 UNDER the total on the road versus teams that average 31+ points, as well as 25-9 UNDER on the road against offenses that average 425+ total yards. North Carolina is 13-4 UNDER the total after getting 300+ passing yards in three consecutive games. Pitt won last year's meeting, 30-23 in OT, and is 53-32 UNDER the total in ACC road tilts. Take Pittsburgh/North Carolina UNDER the total. 

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Pittsburgh Panthers

7

10

7

0

24

North Carolina Tar Heels

7

7

7

21

42

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 50% of the public bets were on Pittsburgh Panthers on the -6.5 ATS. And, 56% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 41.1 to 32.2 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

O

F

North Carolina Tar Heels

0

7

6

10

0

23

Pittsburgh Panthers

17

6

0

0

7

30