Pittsburgh won their opener easily, but the trend in their last two games vs. West Virginia and Cincinnati exposed their offense. The Panthers managed just 27 total points in the two games. The good news is the defense has allowed 51 total points in three games, or just 17 per contest, as they prepare for North Carolina. The Heels offense is not as good as a year ago, but it is still good. The issue is the defense allowed over 500 yards to Appalachian St. and 437 yards to South Carolina. North Carolina can't run the ball and Pitt has been great against the pass. This game is a matchup made for Pitt to excel, and outperform expectations. Make the play on Pittsburgh.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Panthers vs. Tar Heels Spread Picks
Get this week's Panthers vs. Tar Heels point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Panthers vs. Tar Heels.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 69% of the public bets were on Pittsburgh Panthers on the -2.5 ATS. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 34.1 to 32.0 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline, North Carolina winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
CFB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public bets were on North Carolina Tar Heels on the -7 ATS. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that North Carolina would win by a score of 27.6 to 26.0 with North Carolina winning on the moneyline, Pittsburgh winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 67% of the public bets were on North Carolina Tar Heels on the -2.5 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that North Carolina would win by a score of 35.4 to 31.8 with North Carolina winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Pittsburgh at North Carolina
Pittsburgh is not going to try and get into a run-and-gun game against North Carolina. Pitt's three QBs have combined for 7 TDs, 5 picks. They will turn to the terrific ground attack in RBs Israel Abanikanda (955 yards, 6.1 ypc) and Vincent Davis (239 yards, 5.6 ypc) to keep the chains and the clock moving. They tried that strategy at Louisville last week running for 168 yards and lost a low-scoring game, 24-10, because of 4 turnovers. Pitt's defense is very good, No. 25 in yards allowed, even holding the No. 1 offense in the nation (Tennessee) to 34 points in a close one. Pitt is 30-16 UNDER the total on the road versus teams that average 31+ points, as well as 25-9 UNDER on the road against offenses that average 425+ total yards. North Carolina is 13-4 UNDER the total after getting 300+ passing yards in three consecutive games. Pitt won last year's meeting, 30-23 in OT, and is 53-32 UNDER the total in ACC road tilts. Take Pittsburgh/North Carolina UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 50% of the public bets were on Pittsburgh Panthers on the -6.5 ATS. And, 56% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 41.1 to 32.2 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public bets were on Pittsburgh Panthers on the -4 ATS. And, 56% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 26.7 to 23.7 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline, North Carolina winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Get free CFB Picks
I pour over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning. You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.
Get a top-rated pick every day.