South Alabama winds up a losing campaign on a 1-3 SU/ATS run, off a 52-0 loss to Georgia Southern last week as a touchdown favorite. The South Alabama Jaguars are ranked #114 in total offense, have one road victory all year and are getting beat by a 32-15 average away from home. South Alabama is 7-21 ATS in conference games, 8-21 ATS against losing teams, and 15-33 ATS after a loss of 20+ points. They head to a New Mexico State squad that needs a victory to hit the .500 mark and has one of the best offenses in the nation. The Aggies rank #28 in total yards (453.4 yards per game), including 343.6 yards passing per contest. They come off a 17-10 win over Idaho, racking up a school-record 11 sacks. The school and the players will be sky-high for this one as it would clinch their first Bowl game bid in 57 years (since the 1960 Sun Bowl). New Mexico State is also 9-3-1 ATS against losing teams. Play New Mexico State.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on New Mexico State Aggies on the -12 ATS. 89% of the public money was on New Mexico State Aggies to win on the moneyline. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New Mexico State would win by a score of 31.8 to 21.5 with New Mexico State winning on the moneyline, South Alabama winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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South Alabama at New Mexico State
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 69% of the public bets were on South Alabama Jaguars on the -11.5 ATS. 62% of the public money was on South Alabama Jaguars to win on the moneyline. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that South Alabama would win by a score of 35.1 to 22.8 with South Alabama winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.