New Mexico Lobos vs Wyoming Cowboys Point Spread Picks

Wyoming is off a misleading final score in their 22-19 win at home vs. Appalachian St. It was a game they trailed 19-7 in the fourth quarter. The Cowboys somehow managed to win after being dominated at the line of scrimmage 417-248 in total yards. They beat Portland St. by 14 but outgained them by fewer than 35 yards. They also beat Texas Tech despite getting outgained 431-320. This is a highly vulnerable 3-1 team, and they are overpriced in the marketplace because they are 3-1. New Mexico is 2-2 and they have an average offense which is good enough to slow down a mediocre Wyoming offense that will struggle to move the ball as they have all season. Wyoming has managed just 24.5 PPG and allows more than that, despite being 3-1. Too many points here. Make the play on New Mexico.

Wyoming shouldn't be laying this many points to anyone, including New Mexico as the Cowboys have lost their last two games to Air Force and Fresno State while scoring a total of 14 points and that was after they barely beat then-winless Connecticut 24-22 as a 31.5-point favorite. Wyoming quarterback Sean Chambers completed only eight passes in 23 attempts against Fresno State while throwing three interceptions. New Mexico won last year's meeting 17-16 as a 14.5-point underdog and the Lobos are 6-2 ATS the past eight meetings. Wyoming is 1-4-1 ATS its last six games overall and 2-7 ATS after losing by at least 10 points at home. Also, the Cowboys are 4-9-1 ATS after scoring fewer than 20 points their previous game. Former San Diego State head coach, Rocky Long, is the Lobos' defensive coordinator and his defense was the main factor in New Mexico's win last year. The Cowboys haven't scored in the last six quarters. Take New Mexico, Max Play. 

New Mexico has been competitive, with a win over New Mexico State (55-52), followed by three straight losses by 7, 11 and 14 points. New Mexico is 26-11 ATS against run defenses that allow 120 rushing yards or less per game. And Coach Bob Davie is 12-2 ATS against teams with winning percentages between 60-75% as the coach of New Mexico with average final scores of 35-28. Wyoming squeezed by Idaho (21-16) and Texas State (23-14), but has lost two of the last three games scoring 21 and 22 points against Tulsa and SDSU. Wyoming is also 58-84 ATS after one or more consecutive spread losses. Play New Mexico.