New Mexico Lobos vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane Point Spread Picks

The New Mexico Lobos have not had a winning season since 2007, but this may be the year they break through and become Bowl eligible. They certainly showed something, albeit vs. Mississippi Valley State, in week one where they ran up a 66-0 win. The Lobos went for 370 yards on the ground, and after a season averaging over 300 on the ground last year, they are poised to do the same this season. Add in a more experienced QB at the helm, and the passing game should take a step forward as well. Tulsa had a good run where they won 10 games or more in four of six seasons, but the program has hit a bump. Over the last two years they have combined for just five wins. They opened at home with a thrilling 47-44 win over a weak Florida Atlantic team, forcing overtime with a last play FG. They have big problems as they allowed FAU to gain 300 yards on the ground, and will have no answers for one of the top ground games in the country. This game fits a 96-31 ATS situation for the host, and backs New Mexico in this one.

The Golden Hurricane dispatched lowly Tulane in their opener 37-13. That has put a bump in this line. Heading on the road is one thing, but when you look at the schedule and see Oklahoma coming up for Tulsa next week, you can be sure they will have part of their minds on that game. That can result in a lack of emotion in this one. After all, they trounced the Lobos 56-14 a year ago, so how will this one get their attention, especially with the Sooners on deck?  The Golden Hurricane haven't fared well on grass as they have turned in a 3-8 ATS mark recently. They are 1-10 ATS in their last eleven road games after allowing 325+ yards the game before. Under head coach Todd Graham, they are 1-8 ATS on the road after scoring 37+ points the week before. The Lobos have been getting it done after a straight-up loss by following it up with a 12-5 ATS mark. They have also covered each of their last four at home. All eyes on Oklahoma here on the Tulsa sidelines opens the door for a Lobo’s cover to an inflated spread. I'm backing New Mexico here.