New Mexico Lobos vs New Mexico State Aggies Point Spread Picks

New Mexico is seeking its first win and this week offers a great opportunity as it looks for revenge for a 27-17 loss to the Aggies in 2023. The Lobos have played a tough schedule, including against Arizona, Auburn and Fresno State. New Mexico State still hasn't beaten an FBS school and comes off a 31-11 loss to Sam Houston after being shut out 48-0 by Fresno State. The Aggies are 1-5 ATS their past six games and New Mexico is 6-0 UNDER its past six games against C-USA teams. New Mexico State is 5-1 UNDER its past six non-conference games. New Mexico has covered four of its past six games and six of nine road meetings with the Aggies. New Mexico State is 1-5 ATS its past six games. New Mexico QB Devon Dampier threw for 338 yards against Fresno State and Luke Wysong caught 10 passes for 126 yards. Take New Mexico and the UNDER.

New Mexico State won last year's meeting 30-28 and it went UNDER by 10.5 points and the Aggies are 9-1-1 UNDER its last 11 home games. New Mexico has a problem at quarterback with Coltin Gerhart and Tevaka Tuioti injured, which leaves JC transfer Sherion Jones Jr., who was 9-of-16 for 79 yards and a touchdown with two interceptions against Wisconsin. New Mexico State has its own concerns at the QB position as Matthew Romero Jr. threw three picks against Utah State. The Aggies are averaging only 46 rushing yards and 228.7 total offense yards per game while scoring just 10.0 points per contest. The UNDER is 6-2 in the Lobos' last eight road games and they are 6-2 UNDER their last eight games after a loss. New Mexico likes to run the ball under head coach Bob Davie, which will use a lot of the clock and New Mexico State's offense hasn't shown much this season. Take the UNDER.

The last four meetings have gone OVER, including New Mexico State's 32-31 win last year. The Aggies lost 37-31 at Arizona State in their opener as they scored 18 points fourth quarter points to make it respectable. Tyler Rogers threw 57 times and completed 40 passes for 398 yards and three touchdowns and two interceptions. The Aggies accumulated 549 yards of offense and allowed the Sun Devils to rack up 400 total yards, including 300 through the air. New Mexico defeated FCS Abilene Christian while rushing for 259 yards on 40 carries by seven different players. Lamar Jordan was 11-of-17 for 213 yards and a touchdown for the Lobos. New Mexico gave up 31 points per game last season and only two starters return from that stop-unit and New Mexico State allowed 39 points per contest. The Aggies are 21-6-1 OVER their last 28 road games and 19-7 OVER their last 26 September games. New Mexico has gone OVER 19 of its last 26 home games and 12 of its last 16 overall. Also, the Lobos are 6-1 OVER after an ATS loss. Play the OVER.