Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Diego State Aztecs Point Spread Picks

The Nevada Wolfpack is still looking for their first win of the season as they have started 0-6. That runs their losing streak to 16 games. There are some signs of improvement along with help from the oddsmakers who tend to manipulate the line with unbeaten or winless teams. It is showing up in Nevada games now. Nevada had been 2-10 ATS in 12 games prior to their last four where they are 3-1 ATS. San Diego St. broke a four-game losing streak vs. Hawaii last game, but that was misleading. The Aztecs were the recipients of four Hawaii turnovers in a game they won by just seven points. Going back to last year the Aztecs have not won a game by more than one possession against anyone, and right now they are playing poorly. Make the play on Nevada.

Both teams went UNDER last week as Nevada beat San Jose State, 27-24, to stay UNDER by 4.5 points, and San Diego State went UNDER by 19 points in its 17-10 victory at Hawaii. The Aztecs are #10 in the country in scoring defense, allowing only 16.7 points per game while the Wolf Pack allow 24.3. San Diego State has stayed UNDER four of its last five games, and the UNDER is 4-0-1 in Nevada's last five November games. The Aztecs are 10-1-1 UNDER their past 12 games in November. Also, San Diego State is 19-7-1 UNDER as a favorite and 18-7-1 UNDER versus teams with winning records. The Aztecs are 34-16-1 UNDER their past 51 home games, and they have given up an average of just 14.8 points in their last five games. Plus, San Diego State is #114 in the nation in total yards gained. Play the UNDER.

Both teams are 3-1 UNDER this season and San Diego State is 8-1 UNDER its last nine road games and 6-0 UNDER its last nine November games. The Aztecs come off a 34-10 win over Hawaii and they have allowed an average of only 12.8 points with the #2 defense in the country. The Aztecs are allowing only 243.5 yards per game and they are 7th in rushing defense allowing 91.3 yards per contest. Nevada is 4-0 and much of it has to do with one of its best defensive teams in years while giving up 20.5 points per game. The Wolf Pack defeated New Mexico 27-20 in a game that went UNDER by 15.5 points. Nevada beat Utah State its previous game 34-9 and that also stayed UNDER by 15.5 points. Last year's meeting went UNDER by 10.5 points in Nevada's 17-13 victory and the Wolf Pack is 15-6 UNDER its last 21 conference games and 7-3 UNDER in November. Play the UNDER.