Virginia's offense clicked in the opener against Coastal Carolina, but it still looks like it has a lot of weak spots and question marks. New QB Chandler Morris threw 12 picks for North Texas last year. The offense line struggled last season, and top WR Malachi Fields (808 yards in 2024) transferred to Notre Dame. Even against Coastal Carolina, they averaged just 3.8 yards per carry. The defense looks better, allowing 1-of-14 on third down in the opener. Virginia is on an 8-5 run UNDER the total. NC State comes off a 24-17 win over East Carolina as a two-touchdown favorite. Sophomore QB C.J. Bailey (17 TDs, 10 INTs in 2024) runs the offense, and the ground game struggled badly in the opener, rushing for 2.9 yards per carry. They lost a terrific playmaker in WR K.C. Concepcion, who went to Texas A&M. NC State is on a 5-2 run UNDER the total at home. Play Virginia/NC State UNDER the total.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Cavaliers vs. Wolfpack Spread Picks
Get this week's Cavaliers vs. Wolfpack point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Cavaliers vs. Wolfpack.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on NC State Wolfpack on the -3 ATS. And, 66% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that NC State would win by a score of 28.5 to 22.7 with NC State winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Virginia at NC State
Final Score
CFB Pro Pick Results
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 65% of the public bets were on NC State Wolfpack on the -8 ATS. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that NC State would win by a score of 26.7 to 20.7 with NC State winning on the moneyline, Virginia winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on NC State Wolfpack on the +7 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Virginia would win by a score of 38.7 to 25.0 with Virginia winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 51% of the public bets were on NC State Wolfpack on the -6.5 ATS. 58% of the public money was on NC State Wolfpack to win on the moneyline. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that NC State would win by a score of 30.8 to 22.1 with NC State winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 67% of the public bets were on NC State Wolfpack on the -10.5 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that NC State would win by a score of 28.3 to 22.2 with NC State winning on the moneyline, Virginia winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Virginia at NC State
It has been a tough road for the Virginia Cavaliers over the last five years, as last year's squad has been the only team that has made it to a Bowl game. They are one loss away from not making one this year. With six straight in the loss column, they aren't looking much like a Bowl team anyway. By contrast, the Wolf Pack comes in needing one more win to become Bowl eligible. They own a signature win over Florida State, so they certainly can play at a high level when called upon. NC State has struggled vs. good passing teams, but in five games otherwise, they have not allowed any team over 18 points. They are likely going to achieve those defensive numbers here vs. a Virginia squad that has not topped the 20-point mark in six games vs. BCS conference competition. The Cavaliers have been one of the worst cover teams in CFB at 1-9-1 ATS over their last 11, including 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine on grass. The Wolfpack have been sensational at picking up the pieces after a loss where they are now 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 when following a setback. Virginia is 0-15 ATS the past three years when allowing 28+ points and NC State is all but guaranteed to score in that range here (they average 33 per game at home while Virginia gives up 42 per game on the road). Take NC State minus the points.
Final Score
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