Navy is 5-5 and has a shot at a bowl with two games left. They've been fighting hard to have a winning season, winning four of the last six. That included a 31-6 rout of Alabama-Birmingham as an underdog and they come off a 10-0 shutout of East Carolina. They also lost to Memphis, 27-24, as a +11.5 underdog. The rushing offense is 14th in the nation averaging 197.6 yards per game. Despite a 7-game winning streak, SMU's defense has been wearing down. Three games ago, they squeezed by Rice, 36-31, as a 13-point favorite. Last week, the Mustangs topped Memphis, 38-34, as double-digit chalk allowing 464 yards in a game that was tied 28-28 in the fourth. In last year's meeting, SMU beat Navy at home, 40-34 but gave up 510 yards, including 372 rushing. The visitors are playing well and are more than capable of pulling the upset. Play Navy on the moneyline.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 54% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the -20.5 ATS. And, 67% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 31.3 to 16.6 with SMU winning on the moneyline, Navy winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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CFB
Navy at SMU
12:00 PM Eastern
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 54% of the public bets were on Navy Midshipmen on the +12.5 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 32.8 to 21.3 with SMU winning on the moneyline, Navy winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 65% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the -13.5 ATS. And, 67% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 32.6 to 19.9 with SMU winning on the moneyline, Navy winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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SMU at Navy
3:30 PM Eastern
Navy managed to score 34 points while beating Central Florida as a 14.5-point underdog last week, but this isn't the high-scoring Navy offense of past seasons as it scored only a combined 30 points its first three games this season and 13 points its final three games in 2020. The Midshipmen characteristically had only 58 passing yards and 348 on the ground against UCF. Navy had gone UNDER four of its previous six games, and this week's posted total is the highest in any of its games so far this year. SMU stayed UNDER in its 41-17 victory over South Florida for its third UNDER in five games this season as the Bulls were held to 3.0 yards per carry. The UNDER is 10-4 in SMU's past 14 October games, and the Mustangs have stayed UNDER in five of their past six games after a win by at least 20 points. Also, Navy has gone UNDER four of five following a win. Go with the UNDER for a Max Play.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the -13 ATS. 95% of the public money was on SMU Mustangs to win on the moneyline. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 39.0 to 23.9 with SMU winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the +3.5 ATS. 60% of the public money was on Navy Midshipmen to win on the moneyline. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Navy would win by a score of 36.5 to 30.1 with Navy winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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