The SMU Mustangs took a tough loss as Baylor won the game 48-45. They gave up over 600 yards to the Bears, but I wouldn't expect to see anything like that this week, as they take on the Missouri St. Bears. While the Bears beat Marshall 21-20, they faced USC two weeks ago and were destroyed 73-13. They are catching the Mustangs after a tough loss to Baylor, and the Mustangs won't be letting down in this one. Make the play on SMU.
Previous Matchups & Picks
September 13, 2025 3:30pm ET
@
SMU Mustangs
#141
Missouri State Bears
#142
Lines & Odds
-29.5 (-110)
ATS
+29.5 (-110)
-5378
Moneyline
+1645
OVER 60.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 60.5 (-110)
Mustangs vs. Bears Spread Picks
Get this week's Mustangs vs. Bears point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Mustangs vs. Bears.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 73% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the -29.5 ATS. And, 69% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 42.6 to 18.5 with SMU winning on the moneyline, Missouri State winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
This Pro Pick was released to clients on September 11, 2025 at 10:17AM ET.
CFB
SMU at Missouri State
September 13, 2025
3:30 PM Eastern
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
SMU Mustangs 
0
14
7
7
28
Missouri State Bears
10
0
0
0
10
CFB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
CFBCFB
All Picks last 13.7 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,344
2,139
+93.02
CFBCFB
Max Plays last 9.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
284
228
+73.57
CFBCFB
All Playoff Picks last 17.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
322
295
+52.15
CFBCFB
Free Picks last 14.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
152
113
+38.27
CFBCFB
Free Picks this season last 7 days
Wins
Losses
Units
1
0
+1.39
Get free CFB Picks
I pour over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning. You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.
Get a top-rated pick every day.