The SMU Mustangs took a tough loss as Baylor won the game 48-45. They gave up over 600 yards to the Bears, but I wouldn't expect to see anything like that this week, as they take on the Missouri St. Bears. While the Bears beat Marshall 21-20, they faced USC two weeks ago and were destroyed 73-13. They are catching the Mustangs after a tough loss to Baylor, and the Mustangs won't be letting down in this one. Make the play on SMU.
Previous Matchups & Picks
September 26, 2026 9:00pm ET
@
Missouri State Bears
#377
SMU Mustangs
#378
Lines & Odds
+30.5 (-110)
ATS
-30.5 (-110)
+2483
Moneyline
-8867
OVER 59.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 59.5 (-110)
Bears vs. Mustangs Spread Picks
Get this week's Bears vs. Mustangs point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Bears vs. Mustangs.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the -30.5 ATS. 96% of the public money was on SMU Mustangs to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 45.2 to 13.1 with SMU winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
Missouri State Bears
10
0
0
14
24
SMU Mustangs 
0
14
7
13
34
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All Picks last 13.8 years
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240
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295
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September 13, 2025 3:30pm ET
@
SMU Mustangs
#141
Missouri State Bears
#142
Lines & Odds
-29.5 (-110)
ATS
+29.5 (-110)
-5378
Moneyline
+1645
OVER 60.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 60.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 73% of the public bets were on SMU Mustangs on the -29.5 ATS. And, 69% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that SMU would win by a score of 42.6 to 18.5 with SMU winning on the moneyline, Missouri State winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
This Pro Pick was released to clients on September 11, 2025 at 10:17AM ET.
CFB
SMU at Missouri State
September 13, 2025
3:30 PM Eastern
Final Score
1
2
3
4
F
SMU Mustangs
0
14
7
7
28
Missouri State Bears
10
0
0
0
10
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