Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Missouri Tigers Point Spread Picks

Missouri has won seven of 10 games, with the only losses to Top 25 opponents. They come off a 34-30 loss to No. 21 South Carolina as a +10.5 underdog on a touchdown with 15 seconds left. The defense is 35th in yards given up and fifth on third down (29.46%). Missouri is on a 15-6 spread run. Mississippi State is the only winless SEC team. The defense is awful, ranked 127th in total yards surrendered (479.1 per game), 119th on third down (46.79%), and 121st in points allowed (37.4 per game). Mississippi State is on an 8-12-1 ATS run. Play Missouri. 

Missouri will be in a Bowl game at 5-4, but this game will help determine which one. Obviously, a better one if they come away with a win. That is not the case for Mississippi State, who enters this game at just 2-7 on the season. The defense has held this team together, while the offense could just never move the ball which has been the case from start to finish this season. The Bull Dogs average just 17 points per game (PPG) on the season. Missouri is allowing over 30 PPG but the defense has faced all the best offensive teams in the SEC. If you look at their games vs the offenses of Vanderbilt, Kentucky, and South Carolina, they allowed those three teams a grand total of 10 points, and I don't think Mississippi State can score enough for this game to approach the total. Make the play on the UNDER.

The Missouri Tigers are a tough pill to swallow for a lot of bettors, as their offense has been one of the worst in the country. The Tigers have not found the end-zone in each of their last three games, totaling just 12 points. However, that won't play a role in the outcome of this game, as many might think. Teams that have scored fewer than 14 total points in their last three games are actually 57-50-1 ATS, a positive 53.3%. Mississippi State is off a bye, and at 6-2, and may not be totally focused here thinking they have an easy one, especially with Alabama and Ole Miss yet to come this month. What Missouri doesn't have on offense, they have on defense as the Tigers are allowing just a stingy 12.5 points per game. The Bulldogs don't have a very strong history in Thursday night affairs at just 2-8 ATS. Meanwhile, the Tigers are 58-28-1 ATS in their last 87 when following a loss. Play on Missouri.