Mississippi Rebels vs UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns Point Spread Picks

Ole Miss has lived in the shadows of the SEC. So many SEC teams find themselves in the spotlight, but the Rebels just always seem to be a second-tier SEC team. Things could change this season, as some of the top teams look as vulnerable as ever, and the conference seems to have a lot of very good teams that could beat each other on any given day. Ole Miss is in that group now, and come in ranked 15th in the country. Big things were expected from UL Lafayette this season but they were humbled in a hurry last week at home vs a poor LA Tech team. It wasn't just a loss, it was a loss by 28 points at home as a 16 point favorite. That means they played under the line by 44 points - ouch! Lafayette lost to a lower tier SEC team a year ago in Arkansas by 20, and two years ago they lost to Oklahoma State by 41. This team has to be reeling in confidence right now, and Ole Miss hasn't enjoyed the limelight long enough to let up here. Make the play on Ole Miss.

The Ragin’ Cajuns aren’t raging about their season. They are allowing 40 points per game and when they lost by 33 at home to lowly Western Kentucky (as a favorite), it showed just how bad things have gotten for this team. This team has already lost to an SEC team in Georgia 55-7, where they generated all of 128 yards of offense. I don't see anything different playing out here either. They are catching Ole Miss at the wrong time off of three straight losses. The Rebels' last lost came to unbeaten Auburn by 20, so you can bet they will be taking those frustrations out on the Cajuns. Houston Nutt coached teams are 13-3 ATS after a loss by 17+ points. His teams are also 21-8 ATS vs. teams that allow 58%+ passing and 7-0 ATS at home vs. teams that allow 31+ points per game. The Rebels have been cash cows out of conference, where they have assembled a highly profitable 9-1 ATS mark in their last 10. They have now come back after a 10+ point loss at home to cover four straight in their next game. Mississippi names the score and wins this one easily.