Michigan Wolverines vs Oklahoma Sooners Point Spread Picks

Oklahoma didn't need much time against UTEP, riding a shutout to a 51-0 win in its opener and coming in ranked in the top fifteen nationally. Michigan's own opener was far less convincing: a 13-12 win over Western Michigan that barely cleared a MAC opponent. Neither result points to a track meet here. A team fresh off a shutout carrying a modest posted total into its next game is a pattern I trust, and Michigan's offense managing only thirteen points against a MAC defense doesn't inspire confidence that it suddenly finds another gear against a ranked, complete Oklahoma defense. Oklahoma's own offense profiles to control the ball and protect a lead on the road rather than air it out against a Big Ten defense that held up well enough to escape with a one-score win last week. Both sides have every incentive to play a clean, ball-control game rather than a shootout, and the posted total hasn't adjusted for either offense's actual output through one week. This is the number to attack today, and I don't expect it to get particularly close. Bet the UNDER. 

Michigan hopes to upgrade a weak offense from 2024 with freshman QB Bryce Underwood. He got his feet wet last week, throwing for 251 yards against New Mexico. The defense is easily the strength of the team, led by DEs T.J. Guy and Derrick Moore. The Wolverines are on a 5-2 run UNDER the total on the road. Oklahoma Coach Brent Venables is a defensive guy, and it showed as last year the offense was awful, ranked 97th in points scored, 93rd on third-down, 113th in total offense, and 119th in passing yards. New QB John Mateer is working with inexperienced playmakers, and the ground game ran for just 103 yards (3.2 yards per carry) in the opener against Illinois State. Play Michigan/Oklahoma UNDER the total.