I had the OVER when Illinois visited Michigan State last Saturday, and it finished 38-37 in overtime. That was Michigan State’s fourth straight loss, after defeats by 17 to Notre Dame, 18 to Nebraska, and 28 at Wisconsin. Michigan State is 2-4 and scores 21.3 points per game, 112th among the 138 FBS teams. It gains 312 yards per game and allows 340, and it has lost the ball seven times in six games while taking it away three. Northwestern is 4-1 and beat Ball State 45-14 last Saturday on 436 yards. It scores 35.4 points per game (37th) and allows 16.2 (tied for 22nd). It gains 437 yards per game and allows 381, and it has taken the ball away eight times while losing it twice. Its one loss was 29-23 at Indiana, and its wins include 34-13 over Penn State and 41-7 over Colorado. Michigan State has scored 13 or fewer in three of its last four games, which puts me on Northwestern to cover at noon Saturday.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Wildcats vs. Spartans Spread Picks
Get this week's Wildcats vs. Spartans point spread picks, including expert ATS picks, computer model projections, betting consensus trends, matchup analysis, key wagering angles, and the latest odds insights for the upcoming game between Wildcats vs. Spartans.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 71% of the public bets were on Northwestern Wildcats on the -7 ATS. 95% of the public money was on Northwestern Wildcats to win on the moneyline. And, 73% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Northwestern would win by a score of 28.2 to 19.9 with Northwestern winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Northwestern at Michigan State
Final Score
CFB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Northwestern Wildcats on the -3 ATS. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Northwestern would win by a score of 25.4 to 18.7 with Northwestern winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Michigan State at Northwestern
The Michigan State program after thriving for several years has really fallen down. The Spartans are just 10-21-2 over the last three years and prospects are not high for this season. The problem has been the offense has averaged exactly 20 points per game over the last 3 years. Those numbers drop to 18.4 points per game in conference play. The defense has helped them stay in games but not enough to cover the brutal offense. Northwestern has become competitive in the Big-10 because of an outstanding defense which was their best in team history a year ago allowing just 15.9 points per game. While they have to replace some key players the defense remains the team's calling card. This is the opener where the defenses tend to be better than the offenses as timing is sometimes an issue. This should be a defensive struggle and I will make the play on the UNDER.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Northwestern Wildcats on the -13.5 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Northwestern would win by a score of 24.2 to 14.9 with Northwestern winning on the moneyline, Michigan State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Michigan State would win by a score of 22.3 to 17.2 with Michigan State winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 71% of the public bets were on Northwestern Wildcats on the +7 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Michigan State would win by a score of 20.0 to 15.1 with Michigan State winning on the moneyline, Northwestern winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Get free CFB Picks
I pour over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning. You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.
Get a top-rated pick every day.